Let Die or Not Let Die, which is the worst option?

News Bites
Two facts

The UK Government does not have enough money, and so it is borrowing
The UK Government gives away £10 billion in aid every year

Conclusion: The Government is borrowing money to give away to other (3rd world) countries. As they are BORROWING, then they will have to pay it back with interest.

And of course, since the Government does not actually generate any income, then it is our tax which they collect, which will repay the debt and the interest.

Who do they borrow from? Their mates of course. So they are creating a great income for their mates from the interest. So if they stopped giving away aid money, we would pay less tax, and their mates would have no income. So that's not going to happen is it?

 Superficially, I can see the point of giving aid, but if I look deeper I am not so sure it the right decision?

Lets look at some numbers

Say 1 million will die this year unless we give them aid. Lest say we provide aid for half of them.

So the world takes a one-off hit of half a million deaths

But what happens about the other half?
They live, and have children, usually a lot of children, but lets say just 5 per couple
So, half a million people = 250,000 couples, that in 25 years time will probably all have 5 kids each so 1.25 million kids. Including the adults we now have 1.75 million

Say we double our aid, then we will keep 1,000,000 alive and 750,000 will die

In 25 years time 1,000,000 people = 500,000 couples each having 5 children, = 2.5 million

plus the adults we now have 3.5 million

It is impossible to keep doubling aid budgets, or so we will be giving away more than half of our own money, so say we hold the budget at 1,000,000 lives, this means 2.5 million will die

So total deaths = 0.5 million +0.75 million + 2.5 million = 3.75 million and 50 years of misery   for those that survived
Balance that against letting all the 1 million die in the first place? Which is really the most humanitarian ? Its a difficult call.

Trainer Talk
Paper Technics has given the approval for my course overview, so am now starting to fill in the detail for the 10 modules.

I have a small R&D contract which I will be working on tomorrow, so I am going to spend an hour preparing all the paper work/trial plan so that things will go smoothly.

Today I have been talking about starch, and alkyl ketene dimer, (now isn't that a mouthful!), so another job tonight, before I forget is to modify my notes to clarify where some of them had problems. No rest for the wicked!



Thought for the day

Since light travels faster than sound, some people appear bright until you hear them speak